Future of Global Interdependence Model
FUGI is among the first integrated global models. It has been constantly updated since its inception, which is very rare for IGMs. From its beginnings in which FUGI was an amalgam of three different types of models: an input-output model, a macro-economic model, and a natural resources model, FUGI evolved first into a primarily macro-economic model and then into a broader model used for refugee flows early warning. In this new form FUGI allows the user to examine the consequences of political decisions on the likelihood that affected countries will subsequently experience violent conflict and/or refugee flows.
The model is documented in:
Akira Onishi, Global Model Simulation: A New Frontier of Economics and Systems Science, Tokyo: Soka University, Institute for Systems Science, 1994.
Akira Onishi, the driving force behind FUGI, is at the Soka University Institute for Systems Science (SUISS) in Tokyo. Professor Onishi has worked on FUGI since 1972. His is far and away the most long-lived integrated global modeling project. This effort has led to FUGI becoming one of the most sophisticated and comprehensive IGMs, and the databases supporting the model are probably the most extensive of any IGM. More information about FUGI, including some of the model's results, can be found by going to the SUIIS website.
More about FUGI and other global models can be found in an article by me with the citation:
Peter Brecke, "Integrated Global Models that Run on Personal Computers," Simulation, Vol. 60, No. 2 (February 1993), pp. 140-144.
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Peter Brecke … Sam Nunn School of International Affairs … Georgia Institute of Technology … Atlanta, Georgia 30332-0610 USA … Tel 404 894-6599 … Fax 404 894-1900 … Email peter.brecke@inta.gatech.edu